#FIB-RW-23000088Reading & Writing: Fill in the BlanksCore & AcademicHard

AI

Official Question Material
Prep: Varies

A survey of 2700 AI researchers who have recently published work at six of the top AI conferences revealed that many of [blank] see the possible future development of superhuman AI as having a non-trivial chance of causing human extinction or other extremely bad AI-related outcomes. Almost 58 per cent of researchers said they considered that there is a 5 per cent chance of such. The survey also asked participants to share their thoughts on possible timelines for future AI technological milestones, [blank] the good or bad societal consequences of those achievements. The surveyed researchers predicted that within the next decade, AI systems have a 50 per cent or higher chance of successfully tackling [blank] of 39 sample tasks, including writing new songs or coding an entire website from scratch. The possible development of AI that can outperform humans on every task was given 50 per cent odds of happening by 2047, whereas the possibility of all human jobs [blank] fully automatable was given a 50 per cent chance to occur by 2116.

Sample Answer & Audio Transcript

A survey of 2700 AI researchers who have recently published work at six of the top AI conferences revealed that many of them see the possible future development of superhuman AI as having a non-trivial chance of causing human extinction or other extremely bad AI-related outcomes. Almost 58 per cent of researchers said they considered that there is a 5 per cent chance of such. The survey also asked participants to share their thoughts on possible timelines for future AI technological milestones, as well as the good or bad societal consequences of those achievements. The surveyed researchers predicted that within the next decade, AI systems have a 50 per cent or higher chance of successfully tackling most of 39 sample tasks, including writing new songs or coding an entire website from scratch. The possible development of AI that can outperform humans on every task was given 50 per cent odds of happening by 2047, whereas the possibility of all human jobs becoming fully automatable was given a 50 per cent chance to occur by 2116.
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